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National League - South

Sept. 5, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Dover Maidenhead
Dover L W L D D W
Maidenhead W D L L D L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Maidenhead Dover 1 - 0 April 18, 2026
Dover Maidenhead 1 - 2 August 30, 2025
Dover Maidenhead 0 - 1 April 9, 2022
Maidenhead Dover 2 - 0 August 28, 2021
Dover Maidenhead 3 - 4 November 26, 2019
Maidenhead Dover 1 - 2 September 24, 2019

Dover Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 18, 26 Home Tonbridge Angels 0 - 1 Loss
Aug 15, 26 Home Slough Town 5 - 3 Win
Aug 8, 26 Away Billericay Town 2 - 0 Loss
Aug 1, 26 Home Carshalton Athletic 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 28, 26 Home Herne Bay 2 - 2 Draw
Jul 25, 26 Home Burgess Hill Town 1 - 0 Win

Maidenhead Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 18, 26 Away Hemel Hempstead Town 0 - 1 Win
Aug 15, 26 Home Dorking Wanderers 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 8, 26 Away Truro City 2 - 0 Loss
Aug 1, 26 Away Brackley Town 1 - 0 Loss
Jul 25, 26 Away Wimborne Town 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 22, 26 Home Wolves 0 - 1 Loss

National League - South Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
13 Maidenhead 3 1 1 1 1 2 -1 4
15 Dover 3 1 0 2 5 6 -1 3

Predictions

Maidenhead to win
This prediction indicates that Maidenhead has a 41.79% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.82 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.45% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.12% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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