Dumbarton vs Airdrie United Tuesday 11th August 2026 09:45 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Dumbarton Airdrie United

Dumbarton W L L L L L

Airdrie United L W L L L L

STRENGTH

POSSESSION

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Dumbarton	Airdrie United	1 - 5	January 18, 2025
Dumbarton	Airdrie United	3 - 4	July 20, 2024
Airdrie United	Dumbarton	2 - 0	July 15, 2023
Airdrie United	Dumbarton	3 - 2	April 16, 2022
Dumbarton	Airdrie United	0 - 1	January 2, 2022
Airdrie United	Dumbarton	3 - 2	October 23, 2021

Dumbarton Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 25, 26	Home	Cove Rangers	2 - 0	Win
Jul 18, 26	Away	East Kilbride	5 - 3	Loss
Jul 14, 26	Away	Dunfermline	4 - 1	Loss
Jul 11, 26	Home	ST Mirren	0 - 4	Loss
Jun 30, 26	Away	Ayr Utd	3 - 0	Loss
Jun 20, 26	Away	Linlithgow Rose	4 - 3	Loss

Airdrie United Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 25, 26	Home	Ross County	0 - 3	Loss
Jul 18, 26	Home	Annan Athletic	3 - 0	Win
Jul 14, 26	Away	Clyde	1 - 0	Loss
Jul 11, 26	Away	Dundee	4 - 2	Loss
Jul 7, 26	Home	Falkirk	1 - 2	Loss
Jul 4, 26	Away	Ayr Utd	2 - 1	Loss

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.0% likelihood that both Dumbarton and Airdrie United will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Airdrie United to win

This prediction indicates that Airdrie United has a 44.52% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.55 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.32% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.74% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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