East Fife vs Motherwell U21 Tuesday 15th September 2026 09:45 PM football predictions.

Challenge Cup

Sept. 15, 2026 1 week, 4 days from now VS

East Fife Motherwell U21

East Fife D L D L D W

Motherwell U21 L L L L L L

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 29, 26	Away	Airdrie United	0 - 0	Draw
Aug 25, 26	Home	St. Mirren U21	2 - 5	Loss
Aug 22, 26	Home	Hamilton Academical	0 - 0	Draw
Aug 15, 26	Away	Peterhead	2 - 1	Loss
Aug 11, 26	Home	Spartans	2 - 2	Draw
Aug 8, 26	Home	Cove Rangers	2 - 0	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 25, 26	Away	Alloa Athletic	3 - 0	Loss
Aug 11, 26	Away	Kelty Hearts	4 - 3	Loss
Nov 11, 25	Away	Queen of the South	3 - 1	Loss
Oct 11, 25	Away	Stenhousemuir	4 - 0	Loss
Sep 23, 25	Away	Stranraer	3 - 0	Loss
Sep 6, 25	Away	Clyde	4 - 0	Loss

This prediction suggests that there is a 50.61% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that East Fife has a 51.86% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.48 %

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