League One
Match Analysis
East Kilbride
Hamilton Academical
East Kilbride
W
W
D
W
L
W
Hamilton Academical
W
L
W
W
W
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| East Kilbride | Hamilton Academical | 2 - 4 | September 6, 2025 |
| East Kilbride | Hamilton Academical | 2 - 5 | October 14, 2023 |
| Hamilton Academical | East Kilbride | 4 - 0 | November 26, 2022 |
| East Kilbride | Hamilton Academical | 1 - 3 | July 15, 2017 |
East Kilbride Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Cove Rangers | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 11, 26 | Home | Kilmarnock II | 5 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Airdrie United | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Queen of the South | 5 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 21, 26 | Away | ST Mirren | 4 - 3 | Loss |
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | Dumbarton | 5 - 3 | Win |
Hamilton Academical Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Airdrie United | 4 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 12, 26 | Home | Celtic II | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Alloa Athletic | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Montrose | 0 - 5 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Elgin City | 5 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 21, 26 | Away | Kilmarnock | 1 - 0 | Loss |
League One Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hamilton Academical | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | +6 | 6 |
| 3 | East Kilbride | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | +4 | 4 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.18% likelihood that both East Kilbride and Hamilton Academical will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.East Kilbride or Hamilton Academical to win
This prediction indicates that East Kilbride has a 38.85% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.92 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 64.83% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.52% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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