East Kilbride vs Kilmarnock II Tuesday 11th August 2026 09:45 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

East Kilbride Kilmarnock II

East Kilbride L W L W D W

Kilmarnock II L L L L L L

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

East Kilbride Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 21, 26	Away	ST Mirren	4 - 3	Loss
Jul 18, 26	Home	Dumbarton	5 - 3	Win
Jul 14, 26	Away	Cove Rangers	3 - 2	Loss
Jul 11, 26	Home	Dunfermline	3 - 0	Win
Jul 7, 26	Home	St. Mirren U21	4 - 4	Draw
Jun 27, 26	Home	Kelty Hearts	4 - 0	Win

Kilmarnock II Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Nov 11, 25	Away	Annan Athletic	6 - 0	Loss
Oct 10, 25	Away	Clyde	2 - 1	Loss
Sep 23, 25	Away	Alloa Athletic	3 - 0	Loss
Sep 6, 25	Away	Stenhousemuir	4 - 0	Loss
Aug 26, 25	Away	East Fife	3 - 2	Loss
Aug 13, 25	Away	Edinburgh City	1 - 0	Loss

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.22% likelihood that both East Kilbride and Kilmarnock II will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

East Kilbride to win

This prediction indicates that East Kilbride has a 62.89% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 18.11 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 70.74% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 70.56% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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