Eastern Lions vs Box Hill Friday 24th July 2026 12:45 PM football predictions.

Eastern Lions Box Hill

Eastern Lions W D L W D L

Box Hill L L W L W W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Box Hill	Eastern Lions	1 - 1	April 17, 2026

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 10, 26	Home	Werribee City	2 - 1	Win
Jun 19, 26	Home	Springvale	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 13, 26	Away	Goulburn Valley Suns	2 - 1	Loss
Jun 5, 26	Home	Nunawading	2 - 0	Win
May 30, 26	Away	Moreland City	3 - 3	Draw
May 22, 26	Away	Keilor Park	1 - 0	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 10, 26	Away	Essendon Royals SC	3 - 2	Loss
Jul 3, 26	Home	Whittlesea United	1 - 3	Loss
Jun 19, 26	Home	Kingston City	3 - 1	Win
Jun 5, 26	Home	Werribee City	0 - 2	Loss
May 29, 26	Away	Malvern	1 - 2	Win
May 22, 26	Home	Springvale	2 - 1	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
5	Box Hill	19	8	5	6	29	24	+5	29
8	Eastern Lions	19	6	5	8	30	26	+4	23

This prediction indicates that Box Hill has a 46.84% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.59 %

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