National League
Match Analysis
Eastleigh
Southend
Eastleigh
L
D
L
D
W
W
Southend
W
D
W
D
L
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Southend | Eastleigh | 4 - 1 | January 20, 2026 |
| Eastleigh | Southend | 2 - 1 | September 24, 2025 |
| Eastleigh | Southend | 1 - 2 | March 22, 2025 |
| Eastleigh | Southend | 0 - 1 | October 12, 2024 |
| Southend | Eastleigh | 2 - 0 | September 10, 2024 |
| Eastleigh | Southend | 0 - 1 | January 13, 2024 |
Eastleigh Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 26 | Away | Sutton Utd | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Sep 12, 26 | Home | Boreham Wood | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Sep 4, 26 | Away | Altrincham | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 31, 26 | Home | Aldershot Town | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 28, 26 | Away | Hartlepool | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | Scunthorpe | 3 - 2 | Win |
Southend Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 26 | Home | Tamworth | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Sep 12, 26 | Away | Carlisle | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Sep 5, 26 | Home | Yeovil Town | 3 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 31, 26 | Away | Woking | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 28, 26 | Home | Kidderminster Harriers | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Solihull Moors | 1 - 3 | Win |
National League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Southend | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | +4 | 14 |
| 11 | Eastleigh | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 8 | +1 | 11 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.46% likelihood that both Eastleigh and Southend will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Southend to win
This prediction indicates that Southend has a 51.6% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.64 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.11% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.54% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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