Edinburgh City vs Alloa Athletic Tuesday 14th July 2026 09:45 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Edinburgh City Alloa Athletic

Edinburgh City D L D W L L

Alloa Athletic W W L W W L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Edinburgh City	Alloa Athletic	1 - 2	October 11, 2025
Edinburgh City	Alloa Athletic	2 - 5	March 16, 2024
Alloa Athletic	Edinburgh City	3 - 1	January 6, 2024
Edinburgh City	Alloa Athletic	3 - 0	November 18, 2023
Alloa Athletic	Edinburgh City	1 - 1	September 30, 2023
Edinburgh City	Alloa Athletic	0 - 2	March 11, 2023

Edinburgh City Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Away	Gala Fairydean Rovers	3 - 3	Draw
May 16, 26	Away	Brora Rangers	2 - 0	Loss
May 9, 26	Home	Brora Rangers	1 - 1	Draw
May 2, 26	Home	Dumbarton	5 - 0	Win
Apr 25, 26	Away	Forfar Athletic	4 - 0	Loss
Apr 18, 26	Away	East Kilbride	4 - 0	Loss

Alloa Athletic Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 23, 26	Home	Civil Service Strollers	5 - 0	Win
May 16, 26	Away	Stenhousemuir	0 - 1	Win
May 13, 26	Home	Stenhousemuir	1 - 3	Loss
May 9, 26	Away	Airdrie United	1 - 2	Win
May 5, 26	Home	Airdrie United	1 - 0	Win
May 2, 26	Home	Queen of the South	1 - 4	Loss

League Cup Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	Alloa Athletic	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	Edinburgh City	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.06% likelihood that both Edinburgh City and Alloa Athletic will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Alloa Athletic to win

This prediction indicates that Alloa Athletic has a 51.87% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.75 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.65% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.01% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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