Edinburgh City vs Cowdenbeath Tuesday 11th August 2026 09:45 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Edinburgh City Cowdenbeath

Edinburgh City W L W L D L

Cowdenbeath L D W W L W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Edinburgh City	Cowdenbeath	3 - 0	July 20, 2022
Cowdenbeath	Edinburgh City	0 - 0	April 16, 2022
Edinburgh City	Cowdenbeath	1 - 0	February 25, 2022
Cowdenbeath	Edinburgh City	1 - 2	December 22, 2021
Edinburgh City	Cowdenbeath	1 - 1	October 1, 2021
Cowdenbeath	Edinburgh City	1 - 3	March 30, 2021

Edinburgh City Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 21, 26	Away	Stranraer	0 - 2	Win
Jul 18, 26	Away	Ayr Utd	2 - 0	Loss
Jul 14, 26	Home	Alloa Athletic	2 - 0	Win
Jul 11, 26	Home	Falkirk	0 - 5	Loss
Jul 4, 26	Home	Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 30, 26	Away	Raith Rovers	4 - 0	Loss

Cowdenbeath Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 27, 25	Home	Benburb	1 - 2	Loss
Nov 30, 24	Home	Brechin	1 - 1	Draw
Oct 26, 24	Away	Spartans	1 - 2	Win
Sep 28, 24	Home	Rutherglen Glencairn	3 - 2	Win
Sep 7, 24	Home	Morton	0 - 1	Loss
Aug 13, 24	Away	Albion Rovers	3 - 4	Win

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 60.52% likelihood that both Edinburgh City and Cowdenbeath will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Edinburgh City to win

This prediction indicates that Edinburgh City has a 53.36% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.06 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.0% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 63.68% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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