El Nacional vs San Antonio Wednesday 12th August 2026 11:00 PM football predictions.

El Nacional San Antonio

El Nacional D L L L D L

San Antonio D L D L W D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
San Antonio	El Nacional	1 - 0	May 24, 2026

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 24, 26	Home	Gualaceo SC	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 15, 26	Away	Cuniburo	2 - 1	Loss
Jul 8, 26	Home	Cumbayá	0 - 1	Loss
Jul 2, 26	Away	Atletico FC	3 - 0	Loss
Jun 11, 26	Home	Vargas Torres	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 7, 26	Away	Deportivo Cuenca Juniors	4 - 1	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 22, 26	Home	Cumbayá	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 16, 26	Away	Atletico FC	4 - 1	Loss
Jul 11, 26	Home	Vargas Torres	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 3, 26	Away	Deportivo Cuenca Juniors	1 - 0	Loss
Jun 10, 26	Home	LDU Portoviejo	4 - 2	Win
Jun 5, 26	Home	Ind. Juniors	0 - 0	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
9	San Antonio	18	4	9	5	20	20	0	21
12	El Nacional	18	0	5	13	10	29	-19	5

This prediction indicates that El Nacional has a 38.05% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.05 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.02% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.9% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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