El Paso Locomotive vs Sporting JAX Sunday 26th July 2026 04:00 AM football predictions.

Match Analysis

El Paso Locomotive Sporting JAX

El Paso Locomotive W L D D L L

Sporting JAX L D L L L D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

El Paso Locomotive Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 5, 26	Away	Las Vegas Lights	1 - 2	Win
Jun 21, 26	Away	Monterey Bay	1 - 0	Loss
Jun 14, 26	Home	Phoenix Rising	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 10, 26	Away	Detroit City	1 - 1	Draw
May 31, 26	Home	Lexington	1 - 4	Loss
May 10, 26	Away	Oakland Roots	2 - 1	Loss

Sporting JAX Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 8, 26	Away	Austin	4 - 0	Loss
Jul 3, 26	Away	Loudoun United	2 - 2	Draw
Jun 20, 26	Home	Charleston Battery	2 - 5	Loss
Jun 13, 26	Home	Detroit City	2 - 6	Loss
Jun 11, 26	Away	Monterey Bay	2 - 1	Loss
May 31, 26	Home	Brooklyn	2 - 2	Draw

USL Championship Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
12	El Paso Locomotive	14	5	4	5	25	24	+1	19
25	Sporting JAX	15	0	4	11	19	41	-22	4

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.83% likelihood that both El Paso Locomotive and Sporting JAX will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

El Paso Locomotive to win

This prediction indicates that El Paso Locomotive has a 64.78% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 16.46 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 62.42% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 68.29% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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