Elgin City vs Kilmarnock Saturday 18th July 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Elgin City Kilmarnock

Elgin City W D L D D L

Kilmarnock W W W W W L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Elgin City Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 30, 26	Away	Nairn County	0 - 6	Win
Jun 27, 26	Away	Airdrie United	1 - 1	Draw
May 2, 26	Home	Stranraer	0 - 1	Loss
Apr 25, 26	Away	Spartans	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 18, 26	Away	Stirling Albion	2 - 2	Draw
Apr 11, 26	Home	Annan Athletic	0 - 3	Loss

Kilmarnock Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 1, 26	Away	Glentoran	0 - 4	Win
May 17, 26	Away	Livingston	1 - 4	Win
May 12, 26	Home	Dundee	3 - 1	Win
May 9, 26	Away	ST Mirren	0 - 3	Win
May 2, 26	Home	Dundee Utd	3 - 0	Win
Apr 25, 26	Away	Aberdeen	1 - 0	Loss

League Cup Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	Kilmarnock	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	Elgin City	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.61% likelihood that both Elgin City and Kilmarnock will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Kilmarnock to win or Draw

This prediction indicates that Kilmarnock has a 40.79% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 34.37 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.98% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.06% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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