Emelec vs Aucas Sunday 02nd August 2026 11:00 PM football predictions.

Emelec Aucas

Emelec W D D W W D

Aucas L W W D W L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Aucas	Emelec	2 - 0	April 12, 2026
Emelec	Aucas	0 - 2	November 23, 2025
Aucas	Emelec	0 - 0	October 19, 2025
Aucas	Emelec	1 - 2	August 31, 2025
Emelec	Aucas	0 - 1	May 11, 2025
Emelec	Aucas	0 - 0	October 6, 2024

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 17, 26	Away	Orense SC	0 - 2	Win
Jul 12, 26	Home	Barcelona SC	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 5, 26	Away	Delfin SC	1 - 1	Draw
May 31, 26	Home	Universidad Catolica	1 - 0	Win
May 24, 26	Home	Macara	2 - 0	Win
May 17, 26	Away	Manta FC	0 - 0	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 16, 26	Home	Independiente del Valle	0 - 3	Loss
Jul 12, 26	Away	Deportivo Cuenca	0 - 1	Win
Jul 8, 26	Home	Guayaquil City FC	1 - 0	Win
May 31, 26	Away	Mushuc Runa SC	0 - 0	Draw
May 26, 26	Home	Manta FC	3 - 1	Win
May 17, 26	Away	Barcelona SC	3 - 0	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
2	Aucas	19	9	5	5	21	19	+2	32
8	Emelec	19	7	6	6	16	17	-1	27

This prediction suggests that there is a 51.87% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Aucas has a 36.29% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.32 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.56% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 60.62% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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