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July 24, 2026 4 weeks, 2 days ago
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Match Analysis

Emelec Mushuc Runa SC
Emelec L W D D W W
Mushuc Runa SC W L L W D D
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Mushuc Runa SC Emelec 2 - 0 March 22, 2026
Emelec Mushuc Runa SC 1 - 0 July 20, 2025
Mushuc Runa SC Emelec 1 - 1 March 30, 2025
Mushuc Runa SC Emelec 3 - 0 August 11, 2024
Emelec Mushuc Runa SC 0 - 0 March 9, 2024
Emelec Mushuc Runa SC 3 - 1 September 23, 2023

Emelec Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 20, 26 Away Independiente del Valle 6 - 1 Loss
Jul 17, 26 Away Orense SC 0 - 2 Win
Jul 12, 26 Home Barcelona SC 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 5, 26 Away Delfin SC 1 - 1 Draw
May 31, 26 Home Universidad Catolica 1 - 0 Win
May 24, 26 Home Macara 2 - 0 Win

Mushuc Runa SC Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 20, 26 Home Orense SC 2 - 1 Win
Jul 14, 26 Away Macara 2 - 1 Loss
Jul 11, 26 Home Independiente del Valle 1 - 4 Loss
Jul 6, 26 Away Universidad Catolica 2 - 3 Win
May 31, 26 Home Aucas 0 - 0 Draw
May 23, 26 Home Guayaquil City FC 2 - 2 Draw

Liga Pro Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
10 Emelec 20 7 6 7 17 23 -6 27
12 Mushuc Runa SC 20 6 6 8 26 30 -4 24

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 51.4% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Emelec to win
This prediction indicates that Emelec has a 51.75% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.74 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.25% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.38% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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