Emelec vs Mushuc Runa SC Wednesday 22nd July 2026 11:00 PM football predictions.

Emelec Mushuc Runa SC

Emelec D W W D D L

Mushuc Runa SC W D D L L L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Mushuc Runa SC	Emelec	2 - 0	March 22, 2026
Emelec	Mushuc Runa SC	1 - 0	July 20, 2025
Mushuc Runa SC	Emelec	1 - 1	March 30, 2025
Mushuc Runa SC	Emelec	3 - 0	August 11, 2024
Emelec	Mushuc Runa SC	0 - 0	March 9, 2024
Emelec	Mushuc Runa SC	3 - 1	September 23, 2023

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 5, 26	Away	Delfin SC	1 - 1	Draw
May 31, 26	Home	Universidad Catolica	1 - 0	Win
May 24, 26	Home	Macara	2 - 0	Win
May 17, 26	Away	Manta FC	0 - 0	Draw
May 10, 26	Home	Libertad	1 - 1	Draw
May 3, 26	Away	Leones del Norte	2 - 0	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 6, 26	Away	Universidad Catolica	2 - 3	Win
May 31, 26	Home	Aucas	0 - 0	Draw
May 23, 26	Home	Guayaquil City FC	2 - 2	Draw
May 17, 26	Away	Leones del Norte	3 - 1	Loss
May 12, 26	Home	LDU de Quito	1 - 3	Loss
May 3, 26	Away	Delfin SC	1 - 0	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
9	Emelec	17	6	5	6	14	17	-3	23
11	Mushuc Runa SC	17	5	6	6	22	23	-1	21

This prediction suggests that there is a 50.36% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Emelec has a 41.73% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.70 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.5% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.69% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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