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Taça de Portugal

Aug. 30, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Ermesinde Paredes
Paredes W W L W L D
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Paredes Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 15, 26 Away Pacos Ferreira 0 - 1 Win
Aug 7, 26 Home Guimaraes B 3 - 1 Win
Aug 1, 26 Away Lusitânia Lourosa 4 - 2 Loss
Jul 22, 26 Away AVS 2 - 4 Win
Jul 18, 26 Away Santa Clara 2 - 0 Loss
May 3, 26 Home AD Marco 09 2 - 2 Draw

Predictions

Ermesinde or Paredes to win
This prediction indicates that Paredes has a 39.73% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.81 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.05% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.2% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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