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1. Division

Sept. 12, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Esbjerg HB Koge
Esbjerg W L L L W W
HB Koge D L L L L L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
HB Koge Esbjerg 0 - 1 March 6, 2026
Esbjerg HB Koge 3 - 2 September 1, 2025
HB Koge Esbjerg 0 - 2 February 28, 2025
Esbjerg HB Koge 4 - 1 August 24, 2024
HB Koge Esbjerg 2 - 1 May 7, 2022
Esbjerg HB Koge 0 - 0 April 23, 2022

Esbjerg Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 25, 26 Away Skive 1 - 5 Win
Aug 21, 26 Away Vejle 4 - 2 Loss
Aug 15, 26 Home Hobro 1 - 2 Loss
Aug 9, 26 Away Hvidovre 2 - 1 Loss
Aug 6, 26 Away Bogense 0 - 6 Win
Aug 1, 26 Away Hillerød 2 - 3 Win

HB Koge Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 23, 26 Home Kolding IF 2 - 2 Draw
Aug 15, 26 Home Hvidovre 0 - 2 Loss
Aug 8, 26 Away Aarhus Fremad 3 - 1 Loss
Aug 4, 26 Away Brønshøj 1 - 0 Loss
Jul 31, 26 Home Vejle 0 - 2 Loss
Jul 25, 26 Away FC Fredericia 3 - 0 Loss

1. Division Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
9 Esbjerg 5 1 1 3 8 11 -3 4
12 HB Koge 4 0 0 4 1 10 -9 0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.05% likelihood that both Esbjerg and HB Koge will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Esbjerg to win
This prediction indicates that Esbjerg has a 59.53% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 20.73 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.82% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.28% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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