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1. Division

Aug. 29, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Aalborg HB Koge
Aalborg L D W W W L
HB Koge L L L L L W
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Aalborg HB Koge 1 - 0 May 30, 2026
HB Koge Aalborg 1 - 1 April 26, 2026
Aalborg HB Koge 2 - 1 October 2, 2025
HB Koge Aalborg 0 - 2 August 10, 2025
HB Koge Aalborg 1 - 2 December 3, 2023
Aalborg HB Koge 2 - 0 September 22, 2023

Aalborg Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 14, 26 Home FC Fredericia 0 - 3 Loss
Aug 9, 26 Home Kolding IF 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 4, 26 Away Holstebro 1 - 3 Win
Jul 31, 26 Away Aarhus Fremad 1 - 2 Win
Jul 24, 26 Home Hillerød 1 - 0 Win
Jul 17, 26 Home Silkeborg 1 - 2 Loss

HB Koge Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 8, 26 Away Aarhus Fremad 3 - 1 Loss
Aug 4, 26 Away Brønshøj 1 - 0 Loss
Jul 31, 26 Home Vejle 0 - 2 Loss
Jul 25, 26 Away FC Fredericia 3 - 0 Loss
Jul 18, 26 Away Naestved 2 - 0 Loss
Jul 11, 26 Home Roskilde 1 - 0 Win

1. Division Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
3 Aalborg 3 2 1 0 4 2 +2 7
12 HB Koge 3 0 0 3 1 8 -7 0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.09% likelihood that both Aalborg and HB Koge will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Aalborg to win
This prediction indicates that Aalborg has a 63.4% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 19.01 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.95% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.08% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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