Estudiantes L.P. vs U. Catolica Tuesday 11th August 2026 11:00 PM football predictions.

CONMEBOL Libertadores

Aug. 12, 2026 4 weeks, 2 days ago

1 – 1

Full Time

Estudiantes L.P. U. Catolica

Estudiantes L.P. L L W L W W

U. Catolica W L D W W W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 8, 26	Away	Deportivo Riestra	2 - 0	Loss
Aug 5, 26	Away	Boca Juniors	1 - 0	Loss
Aug 1, 26	Home	Defensa Y Justicia	3 - 0	Win
Jul 26, 26	Home	Independiente	0 - 2	Loss
May 31, 26	Home	Rosario Central	3 - 0	Win
May 27, 26	Home	Independiente Medellin	1 - 0	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 8, 26	Home	Cobresal	2 - 0	Win
Aug 2, 26	Away	Concepción	3 - 0	Loss
Jul 26, 26	Home	D. La Serena	3 - 3	Draw
Jun 14, 26	Home	Universidad de Concepcion	5 - 1	Win
May 31, 26	Away	Huachipato	0 - 3	Win
May 29, 26	Away	Boca Juniors	0 - 1	Win

This prediction suggests that there is a 51.82% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Estudiantes L.P. has a 55.48% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.30 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.23% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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