Excursionistas vs Argentino Quilmes Saturday 18th July 2026 11:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Excursionistas Argentino Quilmes

Excursionistas W D W W W D

Argentino Quilmes D W D W W D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Argentino Quilmes	Excursionistas	2 - 2	May 27, 2026
Excursionistas	Argentino Quilmes	1 - 2	June 28, 2025
Argentino Quilmes	Excursionistas	2 - 1	February 9, 2025
Argentino Quilmes	Excursionistas	1 - 0	December 2, 2024
Excursionistas	Argentino Quilmes	0 - 0	November 24, 2024
Argentino Quilmes	Excursionistas	1 - 1	October 26, 2024

Excursionistas Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Home	Deportivo Merlo	5 - 0	Win
Jun 20, 26	Home	Deportivo Camioneros	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 13, 26	Away	Sportivo Italiano	0 - 1	Win
Jun 6, 26	Home	San Martín Burzaco	2 - 0	Win
May 31, 26	Away	Villa San Carlos	0 - 2	Win
May 27, 26	Away	Argentino Quilmes	2 - 2	Draw

Argentino Quilmes Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 28, 26	Away	Deportivo Laferrere	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 20, 26	Away	Brown DE Adrogue	2 - 4	Win
Jun 14, 26	Home	Deportivo Armenio	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 6, 26	Away	Flandria	0 - 1	Win
Jun 1, 26	Home	Ituzaingó	2 - 0	Win
May 27, 26	Home	Excursionistas	2 - 2	Draw

Primera B Metropolitana Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Excursionistas	22	13	6	3	33	12	+21	45
14	Argentino Quilmes	21	6	8	7	23	21	+2	26

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

This prediction suggests that there is a 55.26% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Excursionistas to win or Draw

This prediction indicates that Excursionistas has a 40.04% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 37.14 %

Under 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.51% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.41% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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