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Primera B Metropolitana logo

Primera B Metropolitana

July 18, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Excursionistas Argentino Quilmes
Excursionistas W D W W W D
Argentino Quilmes D W D W W D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Argentino Quilmes Excursionistas 2 - 2 May 27, 2026
Excursionistas Argentino Quilmes 1 - 2 June 28, 2025
Argentino Quilmes Excursionistas 2 - 1 February 9, 2025
Argentino Quilmes Excursionistas 1 - 0 December 2, 2024
Excursionistas Argentino Quilmes 0 - 0 November 24, 2024
Argentino Quilmes Excursionistas 1 - 1 October 26, 2024

Excursionistas Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 27, 26 Home Deportivo Merlo 5 - 0 Win
Jun 20, 26 Home Deportivo Camioneros 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 13, 26 Away Sportivo Italiano 0 - 1 Win
Jun 6, 26 Home San Martín Burzaco 2 - 0 Win
May 31, 26 Away Villa San Carlos 0 - 2 Win
May 27, 26 Away Argentino Quilmes 2 - 2 Draw

Argentino Quilmes Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 28, 26 Away Deportivo Laferrere 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 20, 26 Away Brown DE Adrogue 2 - 4 Win
Jun 14, 26 Home Deportivo Armenio 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 6, 26 Away Flandria 0 - 1 Win
Jun 1, 26 Home Ituzaingó 2 - 0 Win
May 27, 26 Home Excursionistas 2 - 2 Draw

Primera B Metropolitana Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Excursionistas 22 13 6 3 33 12 +21 45
14 Argentino Quilmes 21 6 8 7 23 21 +2 26

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 55.26% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Excursionistas to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Excursionistas has a 40.04% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 37.14 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.51% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.41% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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