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Primera B Metropolitana logo

Primera B Metropolitana

June 6, 2026 3 weeks, 3 days ago
2 – 0
Full Time

Match Analysis

Excursionistas San Martín Burzaco
Excursionistas W D W W D L
San Martín Burzaco W W W L W D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Excursionistas San Martín Burzaco 4 - 2 September 22, 2025
San Martín Burzaco Excursionistas 0 - 1 May 3, 2025
Excursionistas San Martín Burzaco 4 - 2 August 17, 2024
San Martín Burzaco Excursionistas 1 - 1 March 30, 2024
Excursionistas San Martín Burzaco 1 - 0 October 14, 2023
Excursionistas San Martín Burzaco 4 - 0 September 16, 2023

Excursionistas Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 31, 26 Away Villa San Carlos 0 - 2 Win
May 27, 26 Away Argentino Quilmes 2 - 2 Draw
May 22, 26 Home Liniers 4 - 1 Win
May 16, 26 Away Real Pilar 0 - 1 Win
May 8, 26 Home UAI Urquiza 0 - 0 Draw
May 2, 26 Away Villa Dalmine 1 - 0 Loss

San Martín Burzaco Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 31, 26 Home Arsenal Sarandi 2 - 0 Win
May 27, 26 Away Sportivo Italiano 1 - 2 Win
May 23, 26 Away Argentino de Merlo 0 - 1 Win
May 16, 26 Home Talleres Remedios 0 - 2 Loss
May 9, 26 Away Deportivo Laferrere 0 - 2 Win
May 2, 26 Home Brown DE Adrogue 0 - 0 Draw

Primera B Metropolitana Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
2 Excursionistas 18 10 5 3 24 11 +13 35
8 San Martín Burzaco 18 7 7 4 22 15 +7 28

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 55.25% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Excursionistas to win
This prediction indicates that Excursionistas has a 49.06% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.65 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.01% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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