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Primera B Metropolitana

Sept. 12, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Excursionistas Villa Dalmine
Excursionistas W W W L W D
Villa Dalmine D W W L W D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Villa Dalmine Excursionistas 1 - 0 May 2, 2026
Villa Dalmine Excursionistas 2 - 1 November 15, 2025
Excursionistas Villa Dalmine 3 - 0 June 20, 2025
Villa Dalmine Excursionistas 0 - 0 September 1, 2024
Excursionistas Villa Dalmine 2 - 2 April 13, 2024
Excursionistas Villa Dalmine 0 - 3 May 14, 2012

Excursionistas Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 25, 26 Home Argentino de Merlo 2 - 0 Win
Aug 22, 26 Away Talleres Remedios 1 - 2 Win
Aug 15, 26 Home Deportivo Laferrere 5 - 3 Win
Aug 8, 26 Away Brown DE Adrogue 1 - 0 Loss
Jul 31, 26 Home Deportivo Armenio 2 - 1 Win
Jul 25, 26 Away Flandria 1 - 1 Draw

Villa Dalmine Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 25, 26 Home Talleres Remedios 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 21, 26 Away Deportivo Laferrere 0 - 2 Win
Aug 15, 26 Home Brown DE Adrogue 1 - 0 Win
Aug 8, 26 Away Deportivo Armenio 1 - 0 Loss
Aug 1, 26 Home Flandria 2 - 1 Win
Jul 25, 26 Away Argentino Quilmes 0 - 0 Draw

Primera B Metropolitana Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Excursionistas 32 18 8 6 49 24 +25 62
2 Villa Dalmine 32 16 11 5 35 16 +19 59

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 56.41% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Excursionistas to win
This prediction indicates that Excursionistas has a 45.07% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.05 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.55% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.82% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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