J1 League
Match Analysis
Fagiano Okayama
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Fagiano Okayama
D
W
L
L
L
W
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
D
W
W
W
W
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fagiano Okayama | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 1 - 0 | May 2, 2026 |
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima | Fagiano Okayama | 1 - 1 | February 14, 2026 |
| Fagiano Okayama | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 0 - 1 | July 5, 2025 |
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima | Fagiano Okayama | 0 - 1 | April 12, 2025 |
Fagiano Okayama Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | Tokyo Verdy | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | V-varen Nagasaki | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Cerezo Osaka | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | FC Schalke 04 | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 22, 26 | Away | Werder Bremen | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 21, 26 | Away | Metalist 1925 Kharkiv | 1 - 2 | Win |
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | Kawasaki Frontale | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Urawa | 1 - 4 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | JEF United Chiba | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 28, 26 | Home | Verspah Oita | 4 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 14, 26 | Away | NK Slaven Belupo | 1 - 3 | Win |
| Jul 11, 26 | Away | Sturm Graz | 5 - 1 | Loss |
J1 League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | +6 | 6 |
| 10 | Fagiano Okayama | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 57.72% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win
This prediction indicates that Sanfrecce Hiroshima has a 51.44% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.08 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.89% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.84% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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