Premier League
Match Analysis
Fakel
Baltika
Fakel
D
L
L
D
L
L
Baltika
D
D
L
W
L
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Baltika | Fakel | 1 - 0 | February 12, 2026 |
| Baltika | Fakel | 1 - 2 | January 31, 2024 |
| Fakel | Baltika | 0 - 0 | December 2, 2023 |
| Baltika | Fakel | 2 - 1 | August 6, 2023 |
| Baltika | Fakel | 0 - 1 | May 21, 2022 |
| Fakel | Baltika | 3 - 3 | July 10, 2021 |
Fakel Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | FC Orenburg | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 18, 26 | Away | Akhmat | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | CSKA Moscow | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 10, 26 | Home | Akhmat | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 5, 26 | Home | Dynamo | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 2, 26 | Away | FC Krasnodar | 3 - 2 | Loss |
Baltika Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 26 | Home | Rubin | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 20, 26 | Home | Makhachkala | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 16, 26 | Home | Spartak Moscow | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Krylia Sovetov | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 5, 26 | Away | Zenit | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Dynamo | 2 - 1 | Win |
Premier League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Baltika | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 7 |
| 15 | Fakel | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 2 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 56.71% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Baltika to win
This prediction indicates that Baltika has a 46.66% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.42 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.59% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 65.08% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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