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Premier League
Fakel logo Fakel
Aug. 29, 2026 2 weeks from now VS
Zenit logo Zenit

Match Analysis

Fakel Zenit
Fakel D L L L L D
Zenit L W W W D D
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Fakel Zenit 0 - 2 March 8, 2025
Fakel Zenit 0 - 1 October 22, 2024
Zenit Fakel 3 - 1 September 21, 2024
Zenit Fakel 3 - 0 July 30, 2024
Fakel Zenit 1 - 1 May 6, 2024
Zenit Fakel 2 - 0 August 13, 2023

Fakel Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 10, 26 Home Akhmat 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 5, 26 Home Dynamo 0 - 1 Loss
Aug 2, 26 Away FC Krasnodar 3 - 2 Loss
Jul 25, 26 Home Makhachkala 1 - 2 Loss
Jul 15, 26 Away FC Rostov 2 - 1 Loss
Jul 11, 26 Away Akron 1 - 1 Draw

Zenit Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 9, 26 Home Rodina Moskva 1 - 2 Loss
Aug 5, 26 Home Baltika 1 - 0 Win
Aug 2, 26 Away FC Orenburg 0 - 3 Win
Jul 25, 26 Away Akron 0 - 5 Win
Jul 18, 26 Home Spartak Moscow 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 13, 26 Home Makhachkala 1 - 1 Draw

Premier League Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
2 Zenit 3 2 0 1 9 2 +7 6
15 Fakel 3 0 1 2 3 5 -2 1

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 52.2% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Zenit to win
This prediction indicates that Zenit has a 68.76% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 17.24 %
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.26% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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