Cup
Match Analysis
Fakel
FC Krasnodar
Fakel
L
D
L
L
L
L
FC Krasnodar
W
W
D
W
W
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Krasnodar | Fakel | 3 - 2 | August 2, 2026 |
| FC Krasnodar | Fakel | 5 - 0 | March 30, 2025 |
| Fakel | FC Krasnodar | 0 - 0 | August 4, 2024 |
| FC Krasnodar | Fakel | 2 - 0 | April 19, 2024 |
| Fakel | FC Krasnodar | 0 - 0 | August 25, 2023 |
| Fakel | FC Krasnodar | 3 - 3 | November 5, 2022 |
Fakel Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | CSKA Moscow | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 10, 26 | Home | Akhmat | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 5, 26 | Home | Dynamo | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 2, 26 | Away | FC Krasnodar | 3 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Makhachkala | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 15, 26 | Away | FC Rostov | 2 - 1 | Loss |
FC Krasnodar Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Akhmat | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 9, 26 | Away | Spartak Moscow | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 5, 26 | Home | Akhmat | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 2, 26 | Home | Fakel | 3 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 26, 26 | Away | Rubin | 1 - 3 | Win |
| Jul 19, 26 | Home | Baltika | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 50.93% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.FC Krasnodar to win
This prediction indicates that FC Krasnodar has a 62.39% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 19.84 %Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.25% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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