Rodina Moskva vs FC Orenburg Tuesday 18th August 2026 06:30 PM football predictions.

Rodina Moskva FC Orenburg

Rodina Moskva L L L D W W

FC Orenburg L W W L W L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 31, 26	Home	FC Rostov	2 - 4	Loss
Jul 25, 26	Away	Spartak Moscow	3 - 0	Loss
Jul 2, 26	Home	Akron	0 - 5	Loss
Jun 27, 26	Away	Lokomotiv	0 - 0	Draw
May 16, 26	Away	Arsenal Tula	1 - 4	Win
May 8, 26	Home	Chelyabinsk	2 - 0	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 2, 26	Home	Zenit	0 - 3	Loss
Jul 26, 26	Home	FC Rostov	2 - 1	Win
Jul 11, 26	Home	CSKA Moscow	2 - 0	Win
Jul 7, 26	Away	Dynamo	2 - 1	Loss
Jul 3, 26	Away	Rubin	1 - 2	Win
Jun 25, 26	Home	FK Neftekhimik	0 - 1	Loss

This prediction indicates that FC Orenburg has a 41.75% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.73 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.53% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.78% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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