Fakel vs FC Vitebsk Saturday 03rd October 2026 02:30 PM football predictions.

Friendlies Clubs

Oct. 3, 2026 12 hours from now VS

Fakel FC Vitebsk

Fakel L D L D L D

FC Vitebsk L D L W W L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 16, 26	Away	Spartak Moscow	1 - 0	Loss
Sep 12, 26	Home	Baltika	2 - 2	Draw
Sep 5, 26	Away	FC Rostov	3 - 1	Loss
Sep 1, 26	Home	FC Krasnodar	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 29, 26	Home	Zenit	0 - 1	Loss
Aug 22, 26	Home	FC Orenburg	0 - 0	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 20, 26	Away	Torpedo Zhodino	6 - 0	Loss
Sep 12, 26	Home	Belshina	1 - 1	Draw
Sep 4, 26	Away	Slavia Mozyr	3 - 0	Loss
Aug 28, 26	Home	Naftan	2 - 0	Win
Aug 21, 26	Away	FC Minsk	0 - 1	Win
Aug 15, 26	Away	Bate Borisov	1 - 0	Loss

This prediction indicates that Fakel has a 46.51% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.95 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.26% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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