Jagiellonia vs Polonia Warszawa Saturday 03rd October 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

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Jagiellonia

Oct. 3, 2026 12 hours from now VS

Polonia Warszawa

Match Analysis

Jagiellonia Polonia Warszawa

Jagiellonia W L L L W L

Polonia Warszawa W D L L W L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Jagiellonia	Polonia Warszawa	0 - 1	July 7, 2023

Jagiellonia Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 29, 26	Home	Suduva Marijampole	5 - 0	Win
Sep 20, 26	Home	Legia Warszawa	1 - 3	Loss
Sep 16, 26	Away	Olympiakos Piraeus	2 - 1	Loss
Sep 11, 26	Away	Wisla Krakow	2 - 0	Loss
Sep 6, 26	Home	Slask Wroclaw	2 - 1	Win
Sep 3, 26	Away	Lech Poznan	2 - 1	Loss

Polonia Warszawa Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 19, 26	Home	Chrobry Głogów	2 - 0	Win
Sep 11, 26	Home	Polonia Bytom	2 - 2	Draw
Sep 5, 26	Away	Stal Rzeszów	2 - 1	Loss
Aug 29, 26	Home	Lechia Gdansk	2 - 4	Loss
Aug 22, 26	Away	Nieciecza	1 - 3	Win
Aug 15, 26	Away	Pogoń Siedlce	1 - 0	Loss

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.09% likelihood that both Jagiellonia and Polonia Warszawa will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Jagiellonia to win

This prediction indicates that Jagiellonia has a 62.22% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 21.06 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.63% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.65% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Match Analysis

Head to Head History

Jagiellonia Form (Last 6 Matches)

Polonia Warszawa Form (Last 6 Matches)

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

Jagiellonia to win

Over 1.5 goals

Over 2.5 goals

Most Likely Scorelines

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