Segunda Liga
Match Analysis
Farense
Chaves
Farense
W
W
L
D
D
W
Chaves
L
L
L
L
W
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chaves | Farense | 2 - 0 | February 22, 2026 |
| Farense | Chaves | 0 - 2 | September 28, 2025 |
| Chaves | Farense | 1 - 1 | February 4, 2024 |
| Farense | Chaves | 5 - 0 | August 26, 2023 |
| Farense | Chaves | 1 - 2 | April 30, 2022 |
| Chaves | Farense | 2 - 1 | December 18, 2021 |
Farense Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 26 | Away | FC Porto B | 1 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 9, 26 | Home | Torreense | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Fulham | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | Benfica B | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 30, 26 | Away | CF Os Belenenses | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| May 23, 26 | Home | CF Os Belenenses | 1 - 0 | Win |
Chaves Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Sporting CP B | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Academica | 1 - 4 | Loss |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Guimaraes | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Guimaraes B | 2 - 3 | Loss |
| Jul 22, 26 | Home | Amarante | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | Vizela | 1 - 0 | Loss |
Segunda Liga Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Farense | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 6 |
| 17 | Chaves | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 0 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 55.11% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Farense to win
This prediction indicates that Farense has a 51.64% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.81 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.07% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.58% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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