FBC Melgar vs Alianza Atletico Sunday 31st May 2026 11:00 PM football predictions.

FBC Melgar Alianza Atletico

FBC Melgar D W D W L W

Alianza Atletico L D D W L L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Alianza Atletico	FBC Melgar	0 - 0	August 1, 2025
FBC Melgar	Alianza Atletico	2 - 1	February 24, 2025
Alianza Atletico	FBC Melgar	3 - 1	July 25, 2024
FBC Melgar	Alianza Atletico	1 - 0	February 10, 2024
FBC Melgar	Alianza Atletico	4 - 0	September 15, 2023
Alianza Atletico	FBC Melgar	3 - 3	April 24, 2023

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 22, 26	Away	Juan Pablo II College	1 - 1	Draw
May 16, 26	Home	Sport Huancayo	4 - 1	Win
May 10, 26	Away	Comerciantes Unidos	1 - 1	Draw
May 3, 26	Home	UTC	2 - 0	Win
Apr 28, 26	Away	Deportivo Garcilaso	1 - 0	Loss
Apr 19, 26	Home	Universitario	2 - 1	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 29, 26	Away	Tigre	2 - 0	Loss
May 24, 26	Home	FC Cajamarca	1 - 1	Draw
May 22, 26	Away	Macara	0 - 0	Draw
May 16, 26	Away	Juan Pablo II College	0 - 2	Win
May 11, 26	Away	Deportivo Garcilaso	2 - 1	Loss
May 7, 26	Home	America de Cali	0 - 2	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
7	FBC Melgar	16	7	4	5	26	19	+7	25
8	Alianza Atletico	16	5	6	5	19	15	+4	21

This prediction suggests that there is a 51.8% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

This prediction indicates that FBC Melgar has a 47.07% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.85 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.69% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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