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Primera División

Sept. 20, 2026 1 week, 6 days from now VS

Match Analysis

FBC Melgar Sport Boys
FBC Melgar L D W L D W
Sport Boys L W W D D W
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Sport Boys FBC Melgar 1 - 3 April 15, 2026
Sport Boys FBC Melgar 1 - 0 October 20, 2025
FBC Melgar Sport Boys 2 - 1 June 14, 2025
Sport Boys FBC Melgar 0 - 2 October 18, 2024
FBC Melgar Sport Boys 2 - 1 May 5, 2024
Sport Boys FBC Melgar 0 - 2 July 31, 2023

FBC Melgar Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 1, 26 Away Atletico Grau 1 - 0 Loss
Aug 23, 26 Home Alianza Lima 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 15, 26 Away Cultural Santa Rosa 0 - 3 Win
Aug 9, 26 Home FC Cajamarca 2 - 4 Loss
Aug 2, 26 Away UCV Moquegua 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 26, 26 Home Sporting Cristal 2 - 1 Win

Sport Boys Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 5, 26 Away Sport Huancayo 2 - 1 Loss
Aug 30, 26 Home Sporting Cristal 1 - 0 Win
Aug 23, 26 Home Cienciano 5 - 1 Win
Aug 16, 26 Away UCV Moquegua 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 9, 26 Home Alianza Lima 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 1, 26 Away Atletico Grau 0 - 1 Win

Primera División Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
6 FBC Melgar 24 11 6 7 40 28 +12 39
9 Sport Boys 24 9 7 8 26 23 +3 34

Predictions

FBC Melgar to win
This prediction indicates that FBC Melgar has a 61.67% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.56 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.68% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.31% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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