Challenge League
Match Analysis
FC Aarau
Rapperswil
FC Aarau
W
D
L
W
L
L
Rapperswil
L
W
L
W
D
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rapperswil | FC Aarau | 4 - 5 | April 4, 2026 |
| FC Aarau | Rapperswil | 5 - 3 | February 27, 2026 |
| FC Aarau | Rapperswil | 2 - 1 | November 1, 2025 |
| Rapperswil | FC Aarau | 0 - 1 | August 29, 2025 |
| Rapperswil | FC Aarau | 2 - 1 | June 30, 2021 |
| Rapperswil | FC Aarau | 0 - 3 | March 11, 2020 |
FC Aarau Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 26 | Home | Stade Nyonnais | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 24, 26 | Away | Étoile Carouge | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | Union Berlin | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 10, 26 | Away | Austria Lustenau | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jun 30, 26 | Home | St. Gallen II | 1 - 3 | Loss |
Rapperswil Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 26 | Away | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 31, 26 | Away | Stade Nyonnais | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 24, 26 | Home | FC WIL 1900 | 4 - 5 | Loss |
| Jul 17, 26 | Home | Cham | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 4, 26 | Away | FC Lugano | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jun 26, 26 | Home | FC Basel 1893 | 0 - 3 | Loss |
Challenge League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Rapperswil | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | FC Aarau | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 1 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.98% likelihood that both FC Aarau and Rapperswil will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.FC Aarau to win
This prediction indicates that FC Aarau has a 52.08% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 21.22 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 63.17% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.98% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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