Challenge League
Match Analysis
Stade Nyonnais
Étoile Carouge
Stade Nyonnais
L
L
D
D
L
L
Étoile Carouge
D
W
L
W
L
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Étoile Carouge | Stade Nyonnais | 0 - 0 | April 3, 2026 |
| Stade Nyonnais | Étoile Carouge | 2 - 2 | January 23, 2026 |
| Stade Nyonnais | Étoile Carouge | 0 - 0 | November 7, 2025 |
| Étoile Carouge | Stade Nyonnais | 1 - 1 | August 26, 2025 |
| Étoile Carouge | Stade Nyonnais | 2 - 1 | March 31, 2025 |
| Stade Nyonnais | Étoile Carouge | 0 - 3 | March 7, 2025 |
Stade Nyonnais Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 31, 26 | Home | Rapperswil | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 24, 26 | Away | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 11, 26 | Away | Bulle | 4 - 4 | Draw |
| Jul 4, 26 | Away | Servette FC | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 15, 26 | Away | Rapperswil | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| May 11, 26 | Home | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | 1 - 3 | Loss |
Étoile Carouge Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 31, 26 | Away | Yverdon Sport | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 24, 26 | Home | FC Aarau | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | BSC Young Boys | 5 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 11, 26 | Away | Servette FC | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 4, 26 | Away | Lausanne | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 1, 26 | Home | Grand-Saconnex | 0 - 1 | Loss |
Challenge League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Étoile Carouge | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 4 |
| 9 | Stade Nyonnais | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.82% likelihood that both Stade Nyonnais and Étoile Carouge will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Étoile Carouge to win
This prediction indicates that Étoile Carouge has a 53.02% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.02 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.59% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.14% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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