FC Aarau vs Stade Nyonnais Friday 07th August 2026 09:15 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

FC Aarau Stade Nyonnais

FC Aarau W L L D D D

Stade Nyonnais D D L L L L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
FC Aarau	Stade Nyonnais	5 - 1	May 8, 2026
Stade Nyonnais	FC Aarau	1 - 1	February 20, 2026
FC Aarau	Stade Nyonnais	0 - 1	November 22, 2025
Stade Nyonnais	FC Aarau	4 - 5	August 22, 2025
FC Aarau	Stade Nyonnais	1 - 1	May 23, 2025
Stade Nyonnais	FC Aarau	1 - 2	January 24, 2025

FC Aarau Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 18, 26	Home	Union Berlin	2 - 1	Win
Jul 10, 26	Away	Austria Lustenau	1 - 0	Loss
Jun 30, 26	Home	St. Gallen II	1 - 3	Loss
May 21, 26	Away	Grasshoppers	1 - 1	Draw
May 18, 26	Home	Grasshoppers	0 - 0	Draw
May 15, 26	Home	Yverdon Sport	2 - 2	Draw

Stade Nyonnais Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 11, 26	Away	Bulle	4 - 4	Draw
Jul 4, 26	Away	Servette FC	1 - 1	Draw
May 15, 26	Away	Rapperswil	2 - 1	Loss
May 11, 26	Home	Stade Lausanne-Ouchy	1 - 3	Loss
May 8, 26	Away	FC Aarau	5 - 1	Loss
May 1, 26	Home	FC WIL 1900	0 - 1	Loss

Challenge League Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	Stade Nyonnais	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	FC Aarau	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.53% likelihood that both FC Aarau and Stade Nyonnais will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

FC Aarau to win

This prediction indicates that FC Aarau has a 70.02% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 17.30 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 63.76% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.09% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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