FC Astana vs Aktobe Sunday 12th July 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

FC Astana Aktobe

FC Astana D L W D W L

Aktobe L W W D D D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Aktobe	FC Astana	2 - 0	June 21, 2026
FC Astana	Aktobe	5 - 3	October 19, 2025
Aktobe	FC Astana	0 - 1	June 22, 2025
FC Astana	Aktobe	2 - 0	October 27, 2024
Aktobe	FC Astana	1 - 1	May 4, 2024
Aktobe	FC Astana	2 - 0	September 30, 2023

FC Astana Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 28, 26	Away	Zhenys	2 - 2	Draw
Jun 21, 26	Away	Aktobe	2 - 0	Loss
Jun 14, 26	Home	Irtysh	2 - 0	Win
May 27, 26	Away	Altay	1 - 1	Draw
May 22, 26	Home	Ulytau	3 - 0	Win
May 16, 26	Away	Okzhetpes	1 - 0	Loss

Aktobe Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Away	Zhetysu	1 - 0	Loss
Jun 21, 26	Home	FC Astana	2 - 0	Win
Jun 14, 26	Home	Altay	2 - 0	Win
May 28, 26	Away	Okzhetpes	2 - 2	Draw
May 23, 26	Home	Kyzyl-Zhar	0 - 0	Draw
May 17, 26	Away	Atyrau	1 - 1	Draw

Premier League Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
6	FC Astana	14	6	4	4	19	15	+4	22
7	Aktobe	15	6	4	5	18	14	+4	22

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.92% likelihood that both FC Astana and Aktobe will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

FC Astana to win or Draw

This prediction indicates that FC Astana has a 37.56% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 36.72 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.18% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.29% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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