Major League Soccer
Match Analysis
FC Cincinnati
New York City FC
FC Cincinnati
W
L
W
W
W
D
New York City FC
D
W
W
L
D
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| New York City FC | FC Cincinnati | 4 - 4 | April 22, 2026 |
| FC Cincinnati | New York City FC | 0 - 1 | August 23, 2025 |
| New York City FC | FC Cincinnati | 1 - 0 | May 4, 2025 |
| FC Cincinnati | New York City FC | 0 - 0 | November 9, 2024 |
| New York City FC | FC Cincinnati | 3 - 1 | November 2, 2024 |
| FC Cincinnati | New York City FC | 1 - 0 | October 28, 2024 |
FC Cincinnati Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | San Jose Earthquakes | 4 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Columbus Crew | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 22, 26 | Home | Vancouver Whitecaps | 4 - 3 | Win |
| Jul 10, 26 | Home | Burnley | 3 - 1 | Win |
| May 23, 26 | Home | Orlando City SC | 6 - 2 | Win |
| May 17, 26 | Away | San Diego | 3 - 3 | Draw |
New York City FC Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 31, 26 | Home | Toronto FC | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Chicago Fire | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 22, 26 | Away | Columbus Crew | 1 - 2 | Win |
| May 24, 26 | Away | Nashville SC | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| May 16, 26 | Away | New York Red Bulls | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 13, 26 | Away | Charlotte | 0 - 1 | Win |
Major League Soccer Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | New York City FC | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 31 | 24 | +7 | 26 |
| 11 | FC Cincinnati | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 45 | 44 | +1 | 26 |
Predictions
FC Cincinnati to win
This prediction indicates that FC Cincinnati has a 44.84% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.56 %Most Likely Scorelines
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