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UEFA Europa Conference League logo

UEFA Europa Conference League

Aug. 13, 2026 1 week, 5 days from now VS

Match Analysis

FC Nordsjaelland Valur Reykjavik
FC Nordsjaelland W D L D L W
Valur Reykjavik D W L W L W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

FC Nordsjaelland Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 30, 26 Home Gais 6 - 0 Win
Jul 26, 26 Away AC Horsens 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 23, 26 Away Gais 1 - 0 Loss
Jul 21, 26 Away Hørsholm-Usserød 2 - 2 Draw
Jul 17, 26 Away Sparta Praha 5 - 1 Loss
Jul 17, 26 Away Jagiellonia 1 - 2 Win

Valur Reykjavik Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 30, 26 Away Zrinjski 2 - 2 Draw
Jul 23, 26 Home Zrinjski 1 - 0 Win
Jul 18, 26 Home Fram Reykjavik 2 - 3 Loss
Jul 12, 26 Home FH hafnarfjordur 2 - 0 Win
Jul 4, 26 Away IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1 - 0 Loss
Jun 28, 26 Away Thor Akureyri 2 - 4 Win

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.74% likelihood that both FC Nordsjaelland and Valur Reykjavik will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
FC Nordsjaelland to win
This prediction indicates that FC Nordsjaelland has a 65.35% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 19.44 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.94% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 67.26% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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