J1 League
Match Analysis
FC Tokyo
Machida Zelvia
FC Tokyo
W
L
D
L
D
W
Machida Zelvia
W
D
D
W
D
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Tokyo | Machida Zelvia | 0 - 0 | April 5, 2026 |
| Machida Zelvia | FC Tokyo | 0 - 3 | April 1, 2026 |
| Machida Zelvia | FC Tokyo | 0 - 0 | November 16, 2025 |
| Machida Zelvia | FC Tokyo | 0 - 1 | November 9, 2025 |
| FC Tokyo | Machida Zelvia | 0 - 1 | February 22, 2025 |
| Machida Zelvia | FC Tokyo | 3 - 0 | November 9, 2024 |
FC Tokyo Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 21, 26 | Home | Nagoya Grampus | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jun 6, 26 | Home | Cerezo Osaka | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| May 30, 26 | Away | Cerezo Osaka | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| May 23, 26 | Away | Kashima | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| May 16, 26 | Away | Urawa | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| May 10, 26 | Home | Tokyo Verdy | 2 - 1 | Win |
Machida Zelvia Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | Fujieda MYFC | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jun 6, 26 | Home | Nagoya Grampus | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| May 30, 26 | Away | Nagoya Grampus | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| May 22, 26 | Home | Urawa | 1 - 0 | Win |
| May 17, 26 | Away | Kawasaki Frontale | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 13, 26 | Home | Tokyo Verdy | 0 - 0 | Draw |
J1 League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | Machida Zelvia | None | None | None | None | None | None | None | None |
| None | FC Tokyo | None | None | None | None | None | None | None | None |
Predictions
FC Tokyo to win
This prediction indicates that FC Tokyo has a 44.42% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.47 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.29% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.0% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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