FC Tulsa vs Lexington Sunday 26th July 2026 03:30 AM football predictions.

FC Tulsa Lexington

FC Tulsa L W L D W W

Lexington W W W L W L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
FC Tulsa	Lexington	3 - 0	October 5, 2025
Lexington	FC Tulsa	0 - 2	May 18, 2025

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 21, 26	Home	Colorado Springs	1 - 2	Loss
Jun 18, 26	Home	Monterey Bay	2 - 0	Win
Jun 13, 26	Away	Charleston Battery	5 - 1	Loss
May 31, 26	Away	Las Vegas Lights	0 - 0	Draw
May 23, 26	Home	Hartford Athletic	2 - 0	Win
May 3, 26	Away	Monterey Bay	1 - 2	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 4, 26	Away	Tampa Bay Rowdies	1 - 4	Win
Jun 13, 26	Home	San Antonio	2 - 0	Win
May 31, 26	Away	El Paso Locomotive	1 - 4	Win
May 23, 26	Away	Indy Eleven	3 - 1	Loss
May 8, 26	Home	Monterey Bay	3 - 1	Win
May 3, 26	Away	Las Vegas Lights	2 - 1	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
13	FC Tulsa	13	5	4	4	17	16	+1	19
15	Lexington	13	5	3	5	21	16	+5	18

This prediction indicates that FC Tulsa has a 40.39% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.48 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.93% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.94% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions View plans

[[ comment.user.username ]]

This comment has been removed

[[ comment.user.username ]]

[[ comment.comment ]]

[[comment.humanizedSubmitDate]] [[comment.starsCount]] [[comment.starsCount]] [[comment.repliesCount]] Reply Reply