FC UFA vs Torpedo Moskva Saturday 26th September 2026 06:00 PM football predictions.

First League

FC UFA

Sept. 26, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Torpedo Moskva

Match Analysis

FC UFA Torpedo Moskva

FC UFA L D W W D L

Torpedo Moskva L W W W W L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Both FC UFA and Torpedo Moskva are in moderate recent form, but Torpedo Moskva have a clear quality advantage and come into the match with extra rest time, which could give them an edge. The model predicts a 39% chance that Torpedo Moskva will win, suggesting they are favored but not overwhelmingly so. The recent history between these teams shows that their matches often end in draws and with few goals, aligning with the model's view that fewer goals are likely. Market odds are not available for direct comparison in this case.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
FC UFA	Torpedo Moskva	1 - 1	April 6, 2026
Torpedo Moskva	FC UFA	0 - 0	September 3, 2025
Torpedo Moskva	FC UFA	0 - 0	March 9, 2025
FC UFA	Torpedo Moskva	0 - 1	August 31, 2024
FC UFA	Torpedo Moskva	1 - 1	September 26, 2023

FC UFA Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 9, 26	Away	Kaluga	1 - 0	Loss
Sep 5, 26	Home	Veles	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 28, 26	Away	FK Neftekhimik	0 - 1	Win
Aug 23, 26	Home	Enisey	3 - 1	Win
Aug 17, 26	Away	Spartak Kostroma	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 8, 26	Away	Ural	3 - 0	Loss

Torpedo Moskva Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 10, 26	Away	Shinnik Yaroslavl	2 - 0	Loss
Sep 4, 26	Away	Tekstilshchik	1 - 4	Win
Aug 30, 26	Away	Ska-khabarovsk	0 - 2	Win
Aug 21, 26	Home	Spartak Kostroma	3 - 0	Win
Aug 15, 26	Away	Chelyabinsk	0 - 4	Win
Aug 8, 26	Home	PFC Sochi	1 - 2	Loss

First League Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
3	Torpedo Moskva	9	6	1	2	19	6	+13	19
6	FC UFA	9	4	4	1	13	9	+4	16

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

This prediction suggests that there is a 54.28% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Torpedo Moskva to win

This prediction indicates that Torpedo Moskva has a 41.3% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.08 %

Under 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.57% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.65% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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