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Challenge League

Sept. 4, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

FC Winterthur Neuchatel Xamax FC
FC Winterthur W L D D D D
Neuchatel Xamax FC W W W W L L
STRENGTH
POSSESSION
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
FC Winterthur Neuchatel Xamax FC 2 - 1 March 27, 2026
FC Winterthur Neuchatel Xamax FC 3 - 1 May 14, 2022
Neuchatel Xamax FC FC Winterthur 0 - 0 March 18, 2022
Neuchatel Xamax FC FC Winterthur 1 - 1 October 29, 2021
FC Winterthur Neuchatel Xamax FC 2 - 1 September 11, 2021
FC Winterthur Neuchatel Xamax FC 0 - 1 April 30, 2021

FC Winterthur Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 7, 26 Home FC WIL 1900 5 - 0 Win
Jul 31, 26 Away SC Kriens 2 - 0 Loss
Jul 24, 26 Home Yverdon Sport 2 - 2 Draw
Jul 17, 26 Home Union Berlin 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 14, 26 Home Brühl 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 11, 26 Away FC Basel 1893 2 - 2 Draw

Neuchatel Xamax FC Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 7, 26 Away Étoile Carouge 0 - 1 Win
Jul 31, 26 Away FC WIL 1900 1 - 2 Win
Jul 24, 26 Home SC Kriens 3 - 2 Win
Jul 11, 26 Away Lausanne 1 - 2 Win
Jul 4, 26 Away FC Thun 6 - 2 Loss
Jul 1, 26 Home FC Sion 2 - 4 Loss

Challenge League Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Neuchatel Xamax FC 2 2 0 0 5 3 +2 6
8 FC Winterthur 2 0 1 1 2 4 -2 1

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.12% likelihood that both FC Winterthur and Neuchatel Xamax FC will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
FC Winterthur to win
This prediction indicates that FC Winterthur has a 41.05% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.49 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.78% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.47% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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