Ferreiras vs Aljustrelense Sunday 30th August 2026 07:00 PM football predictions.

Taça de Portugal

Aug. 30, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Ferreiras Aljustrelense

Ferreiras L L W L W L

Aljustrelense L W L L D L

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 22, 24	Away	Varzim	3 - 0	Loss
Oct 2, 22	Away	Pêro Pinheiro	2 - 1	Loss
Sep 11, 22	Home	Culatrense	2 - 0	Win
Sep 25, 21	Home	Estrela	0 - 3	Loss
Sep 11, 21	Home	Penedo Gordo	1 - 0	Win
Oct 11, 20	Away	Amora	1 - 0	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Oct 11, 20	Away	Os Limianos	2 - 1	Loss
Sep 27, 20	Home	Praia Milfontes	1 - 0	Win
Sep 29, 19	Home	Casa Pia	0 - 2	Loss
Sep 30, 18	Away	Anadia	3 - 1	Loss
Sep 9, 18	Home	Praia Milfontes	0 - 0	Draw
Nov 20, 16	Home	Tondela	1 - 2	Loss

This prediction suggests that there is a 53.17% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Aljustrelense has a 43.59% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.01 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.36% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.74% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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