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Primera Nacional
Ferro Carril Oeste logo Ferro Carril Oeste
Sept. 19, 2026 2 weeks from now VS
Ciudad de Bolívar logo Ciudad de Bolívar

Match Analysis

Ferro Carril Oeste Ciudad de Bolívar
Ferro Carril Oeste D W W W L L
Ciudad de Bolívar W D L L L W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Ciudad de Bolívar Ferro Carril Oeste 2 - 4 May 3, 2026

Ferro Carril Oeste Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 30, 26 Away CA Estudiantes 2 - 2 Draw
Aug 24, 26 Home All Boys 1 - 0 Win
Aug 15, 26 Home Atlanta 3 - 1 Win
Aug 9, 26 Away Los Andes 1 - 2 Win
Aug 1, 26 Home Godoy Cruz 1 - 3 Loss
Jul 26, 26 Away Deportivo Moron 4 - 0 Loss

Ciudad de Bolívar Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 29, 26 Home Defensores De Belgrano 1 - 0 Win
Aug 23, 26 Home Racing Cordoba 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 15, 26 Away Agropecuario 1 - 0 Loss
Aug 8, 26 Away Almirante Brown 2 - 0 Loss
Aug 2, 26 Home Atletico Mitre 0 - 2 Loss
Jul 25, 26 Away CA Estudiantes 1 - 2 Win

Primera Nacional Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Ferro Carril Oeste 27 16 5 6 34 25 +9 53
16 Ciudad de Bolívar 27 9 11 7 23 23 0 38

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 59.86% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Ferro Carril Oeste to win
This prediction indicates that Ferro Carril Oeste has a 49.45% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.12 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 64.99% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 66.57% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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