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Serie C

Sept. 21, 2026 1 week, 6 days from now VS

Match Analysis

Ferroviária Brusque
Ferroviária D W L W D D
Brusque D D W L W L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Ferroviária Brusque 1 - 0 May 17, 2026

Ferroviária Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 5, 26 Away Inter De Limeira 3 - 3 Draw
Aug 29, 26 Home Confiança 1 - 0 Win
Aug 23, 26 Away Ypiranga-RS 1 - 0 Loss
Aug 17, 26 Home Paysandu 4 - 0 Win
Aug 8, 26 Away Figueirense 2 - 2 Draw
Jul 25, 26 Home Maranhão 0 - 0 Draw

Brusque Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 29, 26 Away Guarani Campinas 2 - 2 Draw
Aug 23, 26 Home Amazonas 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 15, 26 Home Inter De Limeira 3 - 2 Win
Aug 9, 26 Away Maranhão 2 - 1 Loss
Jul 26, 26 Home Ituano 1 - 0 Win
Jul 13, 26 Away AO Itabaiana 1 - 0 Loss

Serie C Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
2 Brusque 19 9 5 5 28 22 +6 32
3 Ferroviária 20 8 7 5 25 18 +7 31

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 53.22% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Ferroviária to win
This prediction indicates that Ferroviária has a 45.83% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.27 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.83% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.43% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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