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Serie D logo

Serie D

June 13, 2026 2 weeks, 2 days ago
1 – 0
Full Time

Match Analysis

Ferroviario Fluminense PI
Ferroviario D W W D W L
Fluminense PI D W D L D D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Fluminense PI Ferroviario 1 - 1 April 4, 2026
Fluminense PI Ferroviario 0 - 2 July 22, 2023
Ferroviario Fluminense PI 2 - 0 May 7, 2023

Ferroviario Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 1, 26 Away Tirol/CEFAT 0 - 0 Draw
May 23, 26 Home Altos 3 - 1 Win
May 17, 26 Home Uniclinic Atletico Clube 2 - 0 Win
May 11, 26 Away Piauí 1 - 1 Draw
May 3, 26 Home Piauí 2 - 1 Win
Apr 30, 26 Away ABC 4 - 1 Loss

Fluminense PI Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 31, 26 Home Altos 1 - 1 Draw
May 23, 26 Away Piauí 0 - 1 Win
May 16, 26 Away Tirol/CEFAT 1 - 1 Draw
May 10, 26 Home Uniclinic Atletico Clube 1 - 2 Loss
May 2, 26 Away Uniclinic Atletico Clube 1 - 1 Draw
Apr 30, 26 Away Botafogo PB 1 - 1 Draw

Serie D Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
15 Ferroviario 9 5 3 1 14 7 +7 18
37 Fluminense PI 9 3 5 1 12 8 +4 14

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 54.9% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Ferroviario to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Ferroviario has a 39.62% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 34.52 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.13% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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