Ferroviária vs Maranhão Saturday 25th July 2026 11:00 PM football predictions.

Ferroviária Maranhão

Ferroviária L L W W D W

Maranhão L D L D D D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 4, 26	Home	Caxias	0 - 1	Loss
Jun 27, 26	Away	AO Itabaiana	1 - 0	Loss
Jun 21, 26	Home	Inter De Limeira	2 - 0	Win
Jun 15, 26	Home	Barra	1 - 0	Win
May 31, 26	Away	Santa Cruz	1 - 1	Draw
May 24, 26	Away	Amazonas	1 - 2	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 4, 26	Home	Inter De Limeira	0 - 1	Loss
Jun 28, 26	Away	Ituano	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 21, 26	Home	Paysandu	0 - 1	Loss
Jun 15, 26	Away	Maringá	0 - 0	Draw
May 31, 26	Away	Anápolis	0 - 0	Draw
May 23, 26	Home	Caxias	0 - 0	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
11	Ferroviária	13	5	4	4	12	11	+1	19
17	Maranhão	13	3	5	5	9	13	-4	14

This prediction suggests that there is a 52.7% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Ferroviária has a 45.83% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.37 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.23% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.82% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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