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First Division

July 10, 2026 1 week, 3 days from now VS

Match Analysis

Finn Harps Treaty United
Finn Harps D L L L D L
Treaty United D L D L L L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Treaty United Finn Harps 3 - 0 May 15, 2026
Finn Harps Treaty United 2 - 2 March 13, 2026
Finn Harps Treaty United 1 - 0 August 29, 2025
Treaty United Finn Harps 0 - 1 June 27, 2025
Finn Harps Treaty United 0 - 2 May 2, 2025
Treaty United Finn Harps 3 - 1 February 28, 2025

Finn Harps Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 26, 26 Away Athlone Town 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 19, 26 Away Cobh Ramblers 3 - 1 Loss
Jun 12, 26 Home UCD 0 - 5 Loss
May 29, 26 Away Cork City 4 - 0 Loss
May 22, 26 Home Longford Town 2 - 2 Draw
May 15, 26 Away Treaty United 3 - 0 Loss

Treaty United Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 26, 26 Away Wexford 0 - 0 Draw
Jun 19, 26 Away Cork City 4 - 0 Loss
Jun 12, 26 Home Bray Wanderers 2 - 2 Draw
May 29, 26 Away Longford Town 3 - 1 Loss
May 25, 26 Home Cork City 0 - 1 Loss
May 22, 26 Home Cobh Ramblers 1 - 2 Loss

First Division Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
9 Finn Harps 20 4 6 10 18 36 -18 18
10 Treaty United 20 3 7 10 19 33 -14 16

Predictions

Treaty United to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Treaty United has a 37.98% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 33.78 %

Most Likely Scorelines

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