Finn Harps vs Treaty United Friday 10th July 2026 09:45 PM football predictions.

Finn Harps Treaty United

Finn Harps D L L L D L

Treaty United D L D L L L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Treaty United	Finn Harps	3 - 0	May 15, 2026
Finn Harps	Treaty United	2 - 2	March 13, 2026
Finn Harps	Treaty United	1 - 0	August 29, 2025
Treaty United	Finn Harps	0 - 1	June 27, 2025
Finn Harps	Treaty United	0 - 2	May 2, 2025
Treaty United	Finn Harps	3 - 1	February 28, 2025

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 26, 26	Away	Athlone Town	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 19, 26	Away	Cobh Ramblers	3 - 1	Loss
Jun 12, 26	Home	UCD	0 - 5	Loss
May 29, 26	Away	Cork City	4 - 0	Loss
May 22, 26	Home	Longford Town	2 - 2	Draw
May 15, 26	Away	Treaty United	3 - 0	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 26, 26	Away	Wexford	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 19, 26	Away	Cork City	4 - 0	Loss
Jun 12, 26	Home	Bray Wanderers	2 - 2	Draw
May 29, 26	Away	Longford Town	3 - 1	Loss
May 25, 26	Home	Cork City	0 - 1	Loss
May 22, 26	Home	Cobh Ramblers	1 - 2	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
9	Finn Harps	20	4	6	10	18	36	-18	18
10	Treaty United	20	3	7	10	19	33	-14	16

This prediction indicates that Treaty United has a 37.98% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 33.78 %

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