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First Division

June 12, 2026 2 weeks, 3 days ago
0 – 5
Full Time

Match Analysis

Finn Harps UCD
Finn Harps L D L W W L
UCD W L L L W W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
UCD Finn Harps 2 - 1 April 17, 2026
Finn Harps UCD 2 - 1 February 20, 2026
Finn Harps UCD 3 - 4 October 17, 2025
UCD Finn Harps 3 - 1 July 11, 2025
Finn Harps UCD 1 - 2 May 23, 2025
UCD Finn Harps 1 - 1 March 7, 2025

Finn Harps Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 29, 26 Away Cork City 4 - 0 Loss
May 22, 26 Home Longford Town 2 - 2 Draw
May 15, 26 Away Treaty United 3 - 0 Loss
May 8, 26 Home Kerry 1 - 0 Win
May 4, 26 Home Bray Wanderers 2 - 1 Win
May 1, 26 Away Wexford 2 - 0 Loss

UCD Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 29, 26 Home Athlone Town 1 - 0 Win
May 22, 26 Away Wexford 2 - 1 Loss
May 15, 26 Home Bray Wanderers 3 - 4 Loss
May 8, 26 Away Cork City 3 - 1 Loss
May 4, 26 Away Cobh Ramblers 1 - 2 Win
May 1, 26 Home Longford Town 2 - 0 Win

First Division Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
2 UCD 18 9 3 6 28 18 +10 30
8 Finn Harps 18 4 6 8 17 28 -11 18

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

UCD to win
This prediction indicates that UCD has a 47.06% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.67 %
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.28% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 64.39% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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