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2. Liga
First Vienna logo First Vienna
Aug. 1, 2026 4 weeks, 1 day ago
4 – 0
Full Time
Sturm Graz II logo Sturm Graz II

Match Analysis

First Vienna Sturm Graz II
First Vienna L D W W W W
Sturm Graz II L L L L L L
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

First Vienna are favored to win at home given a clear quality gap over Sturm Graz II, combined with strong recent form and a rest advantage. However, historical meetings between these sides have been goal-heavy and fairly competitive, which supports expectations for a high-scoring game—the model leans toward over 2.5 goals and both teams finding the net. The market currently prices the Over 2.5 at 1.67, aligning closely with the model's assessment, while the home win at 1.71 reflects First Vienna's advantages.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
First Vienna Sturm Graz II 2 - 1 April 12, 2026
Sturm Graz II First Vienna 0 - 2 October 18, 2025
Sturm Graz II First Vienna 4 - 1 April 29, 2025
First Vienna Sturm Graz II 2 - 4 October 4, 2024
Sturm Graz II First Vienna 1 - 1 February 24, 2024
First Vienna Sturm Graz II 2 - 2 August 6, 2023

First Vienna Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 18, 26 Away TSV Hartberg 2 - 0 Loss
Jul 11, 26 Home QPR 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 7, 26 Away Grazer AK 2 - 4 Win
Jul 3, 26 Away Krems / Rehberg 0 - 2 Win
Jun 24, 26 Away Weiz 2 - 6 Win
May 14, 26 Home Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz 2 - 0 Win

Sturm Graz II Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 25, 26 Away NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 4 - 0 Loss
Jul 24, 26 Away Gleisdorf 09 2 - 1 Loss
Jul 19, 26 Home Al-Hilal Saudi FC 1 - 2 Loss
Jul 10, 26 Home Beltinci 2 - 3 Loss
Jul 3, 26 Home Budapest Honved 1 - 2 Loss
Jun 26, 26 Away Oberwart 4 - 0 Loss

2. Liga Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
8 Sturm Graz II 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
8 First Vienna 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.1% likelihood that both First Vienna and Sturm Graz II will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

First Vienna to win
This prediction indicates that First Vienna has a 53.68% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.79 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.92% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.81% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison
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