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Virsliga

June 26, 2026 3 days, 9 hours ago
0 – 2
Full Time

Match Analysis

FK Liepaja Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja L L W W D L
Rīgas FS W L W W W W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Rīgas FS FK Liepaja 5 - 0 May 8, 2026
FK Liepaja Rīgas FS 0 - 1 March 13, 2026
FK Liepaja Rīgas FS 2 - 2 September 28, 2025
Rīgas FS FK Liepaja 2 - 1 July 4, 2025
FK Liepaja Rīgas FS 2 - 1 May 14, 2025
Rīgas FS FK Liepaja 4 - 1 March 29, 2025

FK Liepaja Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 21, 26 Away Riga 4 - 0 Loss
Jun 16, 26 Away Grobiņa 1 - 0 Loss
Jun 12, 26 Home Super Nova 2 - 1 Win
May 30, 26 Home Tukums 3 - 0 Win
May 26, 26 Away FS Jelgava 1 - 1 Draw
May 22, 26 Away Auda 3 - 1 Loss

Rīgas FS Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 22, 26 Home Ogre United 6 - 0 Win
Jun 17, 26 Away Riga 2 - 1 Loss
Jun 13, 26 Away Grobiņa 1 - 3 Win
May 29, 26 Away Super Nova 1 - 2 Win
May 25, 26 Home Tukums 3 - 1 Win
May 21, 26 Home FS Jelgava 4 - 0 Win

Virsliga Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
2 Rīgas FS 19 16 1 2 48 14 +34 49
4 FK Liepaja 19 7 4 8 23 29 -6 25

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.13% likelihood that both FK Liepaja and Rīgas FS will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Rīgas FS to win
This prediction indicates that Rīgas FS has a 61.92% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 21.97 %
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 63.0% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 64.68% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Sure Tips
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